Al Wehda 2-3 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 48%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.46
-100% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
204 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Abha
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.29 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2024 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
22.09.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-0 HT 2-0 Abha Abha SUUD
24.02.2023 Abha Abha 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
08.09.2022 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-0 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
15.03.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-4 HT 0-2 Abha Abha SUUD
27.12.2020 Abha Abha 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha edged past Al Wehda 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Abha as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wehda and 1.00 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Abha?

Al Wehda 2-3 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 25%, draw 28%, Abha 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abha), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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