Universidad Chile 1-0 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-17.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.2pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.55/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.51
-32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
36.2 Crosses 10.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 7.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nublense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
324 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2024 Nublense Nublense 1-4 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
27.05.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
10.12.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
20.05.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
17.07.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
22.02.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-0
AWAY Nublense
1.09 xG 0.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
387 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile nicked a narrow win over Nublense 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 61% of the ball to Nublense's 39%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.17 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Nublense?

Universidad Chile 1-0 Nublense in the Chile - Cup on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 46%, draw 30%, Nublense 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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