Arsenal (K) 1-0 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 21 Nov 2024

Arsenal (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Juventus (K)
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Champions League - Women's – 2025/2026

Arsenal (K) vs Juventus (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
3.17
Over
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Arsenal (K) win — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-13.6pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+10.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v Juventus (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.24/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.60
+0% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +138%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
45.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
23.2 Crosses 11.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Arsenal (K) vs Juventus (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.64 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
419 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) ŞMP-K
07.12.2022 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) ŞMP-K
24.11.2022 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) ŞMP-K

Arsenal (K) 1-0 Juventus (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
1-0
AWAY Juventus (K)
3.90 xG 0.50
74% Ball Possession 26%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
726 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) squeezed past Juventus (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 74% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 26%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 3.90 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.33 for Juventus (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Arsenal (K) 1-0 Juventus (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 63%, draw 17%, Juventus (K) 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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