Valerenga (K) 1-1 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
21%
6.26
Away Pick
57%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.59
Over
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern München (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
9%
+13.1pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.7pp
57%
Away Win
78%
-21.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.20/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.63
-68% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
49.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
28.0 Crosses 19.2
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.47 xG 1.93
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
155 Passes 629
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.11.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Valerenga (K) Valerenga (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga (K)
1-1
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.90 xG 1.05
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 640
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 40
7 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga (K) and Bayern München (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern München (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Valerenga (K) had 35% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 65%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Valerenga (K) 1-1 Bayern München (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 22%, draw 21%, Bayern München (K) 57%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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