Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Valerenga (K) 1-1 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga (K) and Bayern München (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern München (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Valerenga (K) had 35% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 65%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.05.
What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K)?
Valerenga (K) 1-1 Bayern München (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs Bayern München (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 22%, draw 21%, Bayern München (K) 57%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.