Estudiantes 1-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Nov 2024

Estudiantes
1-1 HT 1-1
Rosario Central
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
17%
4.0
X/2
10%
8.67
X/X
15%
3.64
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
8%
7.75
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.42/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.43
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.4 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Estudiantes vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
237 Passes 317
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.07.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.09.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
08.05.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
09.10.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
26.04.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
29.10.2019 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ

Estudiantes 1-1 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Rosario Central
0.84 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
520 Passes 377
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Rosario Central couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes had 56% of the ball to Rosario Central's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.84 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Rosario Central?

Estudiantes 1-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 48%, draw 27%, Rosario Central 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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