Boca Juniors 1-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Nov 2024

Boca Juniors
1-0 HT 1-0
Union Santa Fe
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.52
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
15%
4.04
X/2
8%
7.76
X/X
17%
3.78
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
11%
6.83
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boca Juniors v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.59/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.33
+27% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.1 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.03.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
21.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
06.07.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
25.06.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.07.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.04.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ

Boca Juniors 1-0 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.99 xG 0.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 0
291 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors nicked a narrow win over Union Santa Fe 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 52% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 48%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.99 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.00 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 44%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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