Union Santa Fe 1-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.61
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.08
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
13%
6.01
X/2
18%
4.7
X/X
11%
3.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.59
2/X
10%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.03/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.05
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
24.1 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
247 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
06.07.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
25.06.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.07.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.04.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
24.11.2019 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.87 xG 0.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
235 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe squeezed past Boca Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Union Santa Fe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 47% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 53%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.87 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.00 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 33%, draw 27%, Boca Juniors 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boca Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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