River Plate 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.39
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.39 — our 27% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
28.5
X/1
13%
3.39
X/2
4%
27.0
X/X
7%
9.43
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
9%
20.85
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.95/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.56
+17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -31%
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
472 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
23.1 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
2-0
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
2.08 xG 0.98
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
568 Passes 267
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate saw off Independiente Rivadavia 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, River Plate had 65% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 35%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.08 to 0.98.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Independiente Rivadavia?

River Plate 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split River Plate 59%, draw 22%, Independiente Rivadavia 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ BTTS No
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