Estudiantes 1-2 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.8
X/1
12%
3.79
X/2
10%
9.22
X/X
12%
3.74
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
9%
8.38
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.24
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 66%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
24.2 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.45 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
312 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2023 Platense Platense 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
28.04.2023 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-2 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
04.09.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
25.09.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
04.05.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-2
AWAY Platense
1.57 xG 0.29
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
534 Passes 125
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
30 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense edged past Estudiantes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes had 74% of the ball to Platense's 26%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.57 to 0.29 — on chances, Estudiantes could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Estudiantes and 0.80 for Platense.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Platense?

Estudiantes 1-2 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 47%, draw 30%, Platense 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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