Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.97
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.0
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
6%
8.2
X/2
20%
4.0
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.56
2/X
9%
14.75
Value flag · 1/1 at 7.0 — our 18% vs market 10.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 56%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.91/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.91
+4% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -51%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
196 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
31.0 Crosses 19.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0-1
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
0.91 xG 1.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
212 Passes 153
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba edged past Deportivo Riestra 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talleres Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 58% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.91 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba?

Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Talleres Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 27%, draw 26%, Talleres Cordoba 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talleres Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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