Universitario de Vinto 4-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.41/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.38
-16% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.8 Crosses 18.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 1.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
233 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
18.07.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
11.02.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
4-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.31 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
294 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto cruised past Oriente Petrolero 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Universitario de Vinto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 52% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 48%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.31 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.33 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?

Universitario de Vinto 4-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 40%, draw 32%, Oriente Petrolero 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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