Botosani 1-0 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.12/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.67
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
13.5 Crosses 9.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FCSB
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
315 Passes 326
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
07.10.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.12.2022 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
08.12.2022 Botosani Botosani 0-2 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROMK
01.12.2022 Botosani Botosani 2-3 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.11.2021 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 0-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
1-0
AWAY FCSB
0.64 xG 1.88
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
142 Passes 384
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botosani vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani nicked a narrow win over FCSB 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Botosani had 33% of the ball to FCSB's 67%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.64 to 1.88 — on chances, FCSB could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botosani and 2.17 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Botosani vs FCSB?

Botosani 1-0 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botosani 28%, draw 27%, FCSB 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FCSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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