Etoile Carouge 0-2 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 21 Nov 2025

Etoile Carouge
0-2 HT 0-1
Rapperswil-Jona
📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2025/2026

Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Carouge v Rapperswil-Jona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.72/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.68
+39% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
11.5 Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
0.66 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
442 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.07.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
11.11.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
26.11.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
06.08.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-0 HT 2-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
09.04.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona saw off Etoile Carouge 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Etoile Carouge and 0.20 for Rapperswil-Jona.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Etoile Carouge 0-2 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 44%, draw 30%, Rapperswil-Jona 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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