Bellinzona 0-1 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.75
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
16.9 Crosses 29.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vaduz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.40 xG 1.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 6-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
12.04.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
16.03.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 3-1 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
08.12.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
29.09.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
20.05.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-1
AWAY Vaduz
1.47 xG 1.52
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 470
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Bellinzona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bellinzona had 39% of the ball to Vaduz's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.47 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bellinzona and 2.67 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Vaduz?

Bellinzona 0-1 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 31%, draw 20%, Vaduz 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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