Bellinzona vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Vaduz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
Bellinzona 3-1 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona saw off Vaduz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bellinzona as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bellinzona had 40% of the ball to Vaduz's 60%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.76 to 1.20 — on chances, Vaduz could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bellinzona and 1.83 for Vaduz.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Vaduz?
Bellinzona 3-1 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Vaduz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 41%, draw 26%, Vaduz 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.