Al Nasr 2-0 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 Nov 2025

Al Nasr
2-0 HT 2-0
Al Dhafra
📅21/11/2025 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.61/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.88
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.7 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Nasr vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 0.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
474 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
15.12.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAELK
11.12.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
03.09.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
21.05.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
30.12.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr saw off Al Dhafra 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nasr and 0.83 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Dhafra?

Al Nasr 2-0 Al Dhafra in the UAE - League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 58%, draw 22%, Al Dhafra 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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