Al Sharjah 1-4 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.81
-10% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.2 Crosses 12.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.69 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 257
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-2 HT 0-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
27.01.2025 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAECK
31.10.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
10.05.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
28.10.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 5-0 HT 3-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
04.02.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-4
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.83 xG 2.70
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
16 Corners 3
445 Passes 147
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC ran out comfortable winners over Al Sharjah 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al Sharjah carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 72% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 28%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 2.83 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al Sharjah and 0.83 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Baniyas SC?

Al Sharjah 1-4 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 62%, draw 25%, Baniyas SC 14%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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