PSM Makassar 5-0 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-5.2pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.84/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.93
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.01.2025 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-0 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor ENDL1
16.08.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 1-2 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar ran out comfortable winners over PSBS Biak Numfor 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.00 for PSBS Biak Numfor.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

PSM Makassar 5-0 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 66%, draw 17%, PSBS Biak Numfor 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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