Gareji 3-3 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 31%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.23/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.90
-84% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gareji
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Telavi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gareji Gareji GUR
16.05.2025 Gareji Gareji 0-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.04.2025 Telavi Telavi 1-0 HT 0-0 Gareji Gareji GUR
07.08.2022 Gareji Gareji 0-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
3-3
AWAY Telavi
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gareji and Telavi couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gareji at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gareji had 52% of the ball to Telavi's 48%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Telavi led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gareji and 0.50 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Telavi?

Gareji 3-3 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gareji win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gareji 45%, draw 28%, Telavi 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gareji), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gareji) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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