Naft vs Al Mosul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft v Al Mosul — Team-Based Signals
Al Mosul nicked a narrow win over Naft 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Naft at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Naft vs Al Mosul?
Naft 1-2 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Mosul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naft 48%, draw 27%, Al Mosul 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.