Al Zawraa 2-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.79/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/3.18
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -48%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Newroz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.02.2025 Newroz 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa nicked a narrow win over Newroz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Newroz?

Al Zawraa 2-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 53%, draw 27%, Newroz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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