FC Arges 1-2 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Arges EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
0.75/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.99
-11% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
14.0 Crosses 19.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Arges
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 0.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
160 Passes 381
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.07.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
01.03.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
07.12.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
07.10.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.04.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 0-4 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
11.03.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Arges
1-2
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.59 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 0
233 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Arges vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova nicked a narrow win over FC Arges 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Universitatea Craiova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Arges had 44% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.59 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitatea Craiova's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Arges and 2.00 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of FC Arges vs Universitatea Craiova?

FC Arges 1-2 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Arges vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Arges 31%, draw 29%, Universitatea Craiova 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
21 Nov 2025
18:30 Csikszereda vs Unirea Slobozia Analysis →