Merida AD vs Fuenlabrada Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merida AD v Fuenlabrada — Team-Based Signals
Merida AD vs Fuenlabrada Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Fuenlabrada
İS3
0-1
HT 0-0
Merida AD
İS3
2-0
HT 1-0
Merida AD
İSPK
Merida AD 2-1 Fuenlabrada — Actual Match Statistics
Merida AD squeezed past Fuenlabrada 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Merida AD had 47% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 53%, shots finished 13-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Merida AD had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Merida AD and 0.67 for Fuenlabrada.
What was the final score of Merida AD vs Fuenlabrada?
Merida AD 2-1 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Fuenlabrada?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 46%, draw 28%, Fuenlabrada 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.