Recreativo Huelva 1-3 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.45/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.64
+5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Marbella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2021 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-3 HT 1-1 Marbella Marbella İS3
29.11.2020 Marbella Marbella 2-0 HT 1-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
08.03.2020 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 0-0 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
20.10.2019 Marbella Marbella 2-1 HT 1-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
04.08.2015 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 3-1 HT 2-0 Marbella Marbella HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1-3
AWAY Marbella
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Recreativo Huelva vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella saw off Recreativo Huelva 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Recreativo Huelva at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Recreativo Huelva had 58% of the ball to Marbella's 42%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Marbella led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Recreativo Huelva and 1.60 for Marbella.

What was the final score of Recreativo Huelva vs Marbella?

Recreativo Huelva 1-3 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recreativo Huelva vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Recreativo Huelva 44%, draw 26%, Marbella 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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