Colonia Moscardo 1-3 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+9.6pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.65/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
+48% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-3
AWAY CD Guadalajara
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara saw off Colonia Moscardo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Colonia Moscardo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 39% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 61%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs CD Guadalajara?

Colonia Moscardo 1-3 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 46%, draw 20%, CD Guadalajara 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✓ Over 2.5
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