Elche II 2-1 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.33/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.04
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche II
2-1
AWAY Pena Deportiva
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Elche II vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche II nicked a narrow win over Pena Deportiva 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elche II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche II had 45% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 55%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Elche II vs Pena Deportiva?

Elche II 2-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche II vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elche II 44%, draw 29%, Pena Deportiva 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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