Subiza 1-3 Izarra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Izarra EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.51/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.50
+25% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
1-3
AWAY Izarra
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Subiza vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra beat Subiza 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Subiza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Subiza had 58% of the ball to Izarra's 42%, shots finished 11-22.

What was the final score of Subiza vs Izarra?

Subiza 1-3 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs Izarra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Subiza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Subiza 43%, draw 28%, Izarra 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Subiza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Subiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
21 Dec 2024
00:00 Salamanca vs Marino De Luanco Analysis →
14:00 Mallorca II vs Europa Analysis →
14:00 Elche II vs Pena Deportiva Analysis →
14:00 Deportiva Minera vs Juventud Torremolinos Analysis →
14:00 Granada II vs Villanovense Analysis →
14:30 Linares Deportivo vs Xerez Analysis →