Canberra United (K) 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Dec 2024

Canberra United (K)
0-2 HT 0-2
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.4pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.2pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-14.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.49/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.35
+51% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
12.7 Crosses 21.1
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
16.12.2023 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
05.02.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
0-2
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.26 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
235 Passes 284
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) got the better of Canberra United (K) 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Melbourne Victory (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 48% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 52%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.26 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.67 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Canberra United (K) 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 27%, draw 33%, Melbourne Victory (K) 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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