AS Eupen 0-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.85/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.72
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.4 Crosses 19.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Liege
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
4.02 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
320 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
18.08.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-3 HT 0-2 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
0-1
AWAY RFC Liege
1.48 xG 1.93
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
392 Passes 135
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 10
7 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege squeezed past AS Eupen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AS Eupen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Eupen had 70% of the ball to RFC Liege's 30%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.48 to 1.93.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs RFC Liege?

AS Eupen 0-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 50%, draw 22%, RFC Liege 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
21 Dec 2024
22:00 La Louvière vs RWDM 47 Analysis →