ES Setif 1-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.92
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 40%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -26%
0.98/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.95
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
2W-2D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
14.11.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
30.09.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
09.04.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
07.02.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif and USM Alger shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Setif and 0.83 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs USM Alger?

ES Setif 1-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 34%, draw 33%, USM Alger 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Setif), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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