Denbigh Town 1-2 Buckley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.6pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-10.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.5pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.00/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.43
+20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Buckley Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
10.02.2024 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 6-5 HT 3-3 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
05.08.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town edged past Denbigh Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Buckley Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Denbigh Town and 3.00 for Buckley Town.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town?

Denbigh Town 1-2 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 38%, draw 31%, Buckley Town 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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