Buckley Town 1-2 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.32
No
31%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.5pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-2.9pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.54/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.34
+34% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buckley Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 6-5 HT 3-3 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
05.08.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town nicked a narrow win over Buckley Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Buckley Town and 3.00 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?

Buckley Town 1-2 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 36%, draw 22%, Denbigh Town 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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