Shahrdari Astara 0-3 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.79
2-3 Goals
31%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
7.04
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
27%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.8pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.89/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.24
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Astara
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
10.06.2024 Naft Gachsaran 3-0 HT 1-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
19.12.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-3 HT 0-1 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Astara vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran ran out comfortable winners over Shahrdari Astara 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 30% — and on the day Naft Gachsaran made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Gachsaran led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Shahrdari Astara and 3.00 for Naft Gachsaran.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Astara vs Naft Gachsaran?

Shahrdari Astara 0-3 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Astara vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Astara 34%, draw 36%, Naft Gachsaran 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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