Tractor FC 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.61/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.83
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.03.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-2 HT 0-1 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
21.10.2023 Tractor FC Tractor FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin nicked a narrow win over Tractor FC 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tractor FC at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tractor FC and 1.50 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Tractor FC 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 59%, draw 27%, Shams Azar Qazvin 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tractor FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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