Persepolis 1-3 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.89
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.59/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.75
+5% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.06.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
01.01.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
31.03.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
13.10.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.02.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 3-1 HT 2-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
19.11.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan beat Persepolis 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Persepolis at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Persepolis and 0.50 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Persepolis 1-3 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 57%, draw 23%, Mes Rafsanjan 20%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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