Persepolis 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
26%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.97
2-3 Goals
32%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 34% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
75%
-23.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
26%
Away Win
9%
+17.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.82/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.97
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.01.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
31.03.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
13.10.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.02.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 3-1 HT 2-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
19.11.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
25.06.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis squeezed past Mes Rafsanjan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Persepolis and 0.50 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Persepolis 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 52%, draw 22%, Mes Rafsanjan 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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