Sepahan 4-1 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.3
6+ Goals
6%
11.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.91/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.27
+22% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.01.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan ran out comfortable winners over Shams Azar Qazvin 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Sepahan 4-1 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 51%, draw 26%, Shams Azar Qazvin 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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