Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.56/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.70
-11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Havadar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.03.2024 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
31.12.2023 Havadar Havadar 2-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-2 Havadar Havadar IRAN
15.04.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 6-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
28.10.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
04.02.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-2 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan beat Havadar 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 Havadar in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 60%, draw 24%, Havadar 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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