Bendel Insurance 1-0 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
1.58/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.93
-3% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lobi Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance nicked a narrow win over Lobi Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Lobi Stars?

Bendel Insurance 1-0 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 51%, draw 31%, Lobi Stars 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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