Kano Pillars 2-1 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.59
Over 2.5
55%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.4
No
47%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
59%
-13.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
41%
+13.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
38%
+15.3pp
47%
BTTS No
62%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.46/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.75
-11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kano Pillars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.06.2024 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-1 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
21.12.2023 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
POST-MATCH Kano Pillars vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars nicked a narrow win over Niger Tornadoes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kano Pillars as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Niger Tornadoes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kano Pillars and 1.00 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Kano Pillars vs Niger Tornadoes?

Kano Pillars 2-1 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kano Pillars vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kano Pillars win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kano Pillars 56%, draw 23%, Niger Tornadoes 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kano Pillars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kano Pillars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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