Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 21 Dec 2025

Elche
4-0 HT 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Elche vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.69
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
16%
6.12
X/X
14%
3.59
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.89
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.42/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.10
+21% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.6 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Elche vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2023 Elche Elche 4-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
03.10.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS1
18.02.2022 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
17.10.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS1
17.01.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İSPK
08.03.2020 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-3 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2

Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
4-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
2.51 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elche vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche cruised past Rayo Vallecano 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Elche made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 46% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 54%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.51 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Elche and 1.50 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Elche vs Rayo Vallecano?

Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Elche 35%, draw 30%, Rayo Vallecano 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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