Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Girona
İS1
Girona 0-3 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Girona 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, Girona had 51% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 49%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.10 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Girona and 2.67 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Girona vs Atletico Madrid?
Girona 0-3 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Girona 23%, draw 22%, Atletico Madrid 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.