Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Girona
İS1
2-0
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
Girona 0-4 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid cruised past Girona 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Girona had 44% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 56%, shots finished 2-19, expected goals 0.05 to 2.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Girona and 2.33 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Girona vs Atletico Madrid?
Girona 0-4 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Girona 28%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.