Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
Villarreal 4-2 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal beat Sevilla 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Villarreal had 51% of the ball to Sevilla's 49%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.05 to 1.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sevilla.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal and 1.33 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Villarreal 4-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 49%, draw 24%, Sevilla 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.