Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
4-0
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
Villarreal 3-2 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal squeezed past Sevilla 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Villarreal had 59% of the ball to Sevilla's 41%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 3.33 to 1.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Villarreal's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Villarreal and 1.00 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Villarreal 3-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 47%, draw 23%, Sevilla 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.