Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.31
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
17%
3.65
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
8%
3.89
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
7%
9.78
2/X
11%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.20/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.96
-26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.6 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 406
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
04.04.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
10.01.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
17.03.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
27.10.2018 Mallorca Mallorca 2-2 HT 2-2 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
31.01.2015 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-0
AWAY Las Palmas
0.33 xG 0.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
269 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca edged past Las Palmas 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mallorca had 44% of the ball to Las Palmas's 56%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.33 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mallorca and 1.33 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 55%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
11 May 2024
17:15 Villarreal vs Sevilla Analysis →
19:30 Granada vs Real Madrid Analysis →
22:00 Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Analysis →