Granada 0-4 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 May 2024

Granada
0-4 HT 0-2
Real Madrid
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Granada vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 31% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.91
1/2
8%
20.65
1/X
7%
16.8
X/1
10%
10.7
X/2
13%
3.82
X/X
13%
6.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.96
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.9pp
44%
Away Win
59%
-14.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Granada v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.19/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.05
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
20.3 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Granada vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.81 xG 1.85
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 586
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
06.02.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
21.11.2021 Granada Granada 1-4 HT 1-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
13.05.2021 Granada Granada 1-4 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
23.12.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
13.07.2020 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Granada 0-4 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
0-4
AWAY Real Madrid
1.02 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
310 Passes 476
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Granada vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid swept aside Granada 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Granada had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid's 58%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Granada and 2.50 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Granada vs Real Madrid?

Granada 0-4 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Granada 27%, draw 29%, Real Madrid 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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