Sevilla vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal edged past Sevilla 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sevilla had 60% of the ball to Villarreal's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 1.17 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Villarreal?
Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 43%, draw 25%, Villarreal 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sevilla) went the other way.