Atletico Baleares 4-4 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.55
+0% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Barcelona II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
09.10.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 3-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
17.04.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 6-2 HT 5-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
12.12.2021 Barcelona II Barcelona II 3-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
4-4
AWAY Barcelona II
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares and Barcelona II shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Baleares at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 41% of the ball to Barcelona II's 59%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Baleares had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Atletico Baleares and 2.25 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Barcelona II?

Atletico Baleares 4-4 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 43%, draw 29%, Barcelona II 28%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Baleares), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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