Naxara 1-3 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxara EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 52%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.94/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.67
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Union
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2022 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Naxara Naxara İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxara
1-3
AWAY Real Union
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naxara vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union saw off Naxara 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Union as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Naxara had 52% of the ball to Real Union's 48%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Naxara vs Real Union?

Naxara 1-3 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxara vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naxara 25%, draw 27%, Real Union 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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